Daily Race Ratings

A model with roots in 2012

Daily Race Ratings uses a version of the first ratings model I developed back in 2012. It is a simpler approach than the more detailed ratings and pricing models behind the Independent Analysis, but it remains a useful way of finding winners, comparing runners and identifying potential bets for closer consideration.

The report brings the day’s rated races together in an all-meetings view, with separate meeting pages and a dedicated Gold & Silver summary. It offers a straightforward starting point for studying a race and seeing which horses stand out on the model.

Which races are included?

A race is rated only when there are enough usable scoring elements to support a meaningful comparison. Novice races, maidens and National Hunt Flat races (NHF, or bumpers) are therefore rarely rated. The coverage shown in each dated report reflects the races that qualify, rather than every race on the day’s cards.

What do Gold and Silver mean?

The highlights show how far the top-rated horse is clear of the second-rated runner in the same race:

• Silver: a lead of at least 10 points but less than 20 points.
• Gold: a lead of 20 points or more.
• No highlight: a lead below 10 points, a tie for the top rating, or no second-rated runner to compare against.

Gold and Silver identify a clear advantage within this particular model. They are rating-gap markers, not a verdict on whether the bookmaker’s price offers value. Use the ratings alongside the available odds, race conditions and your own assessment when deciding whether a potential bet is worth pursuing.